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Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $998.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $472.0KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
3.0¢
Boston Red Sox
99.9¢
Texas Rangers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:235 trades$181.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas Rangers · $20.2K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$51.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas Rangers$20.4K@ 51¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Texas Rangers pressure: $26.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$26.9K
6h
−$59.9K
tracked
$181.9K

15 verified profitable wallets: Texas Rangers · $20.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Texas Rangers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 15 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $21.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $19.6K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $9.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 51.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Texas Rangers UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $369 → $849 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Texas Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexas Rangers · $26.9K
6hTexas Rangers · $59.9K
24hTexas Rangers · $106.6K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Texas Rangers fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h34.5¢▼ below by 31.5pp
VWAP 7d34.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$27.6K
45¢
$43.2K
40¢
$31.6K
35¢
$2
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$20.3K
20¢
$16.4K
15¢
$16.8K
10¢
$14.8K
5¢
$3.1K
0¢
← now
$5.0K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas Rangers$11.2K@ 75.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$10.4K@ 45.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$20.4K@ 51.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$13.5K@ 50.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingTexas Rangers$38.6K
BUY VWAP 50.5¢·3 fills
VibeDoterTexas Rangers$12.4K
BUY VWAP 87.7¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Texas Rangers$11.3K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Boston Red Sox$10.4K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.