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Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $47.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $374.5KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
20.5¢
Washington Nationals
79.5¢
St. Louis Cardinals
9.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution28Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:66 trades$168.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:St. Louis Cardinals · $58 net·6 wallets·$11.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$100.0K@ 50¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$190
6h
+$94.4K
tracked
$168.5K

6 verified profitable wallets: St. Louis Cardinals · $58 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
9.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -45.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 9.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 19 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Washington Nationals@ 70.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Washington Nationals@ 50.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: St. Louis Cardinals DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $9.9K → $14 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor St. Louis Cardinals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSt. Louis Cardinals · $190
6hWashington Nationals · $94.4K
24hWashington Nationals · $108.7K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. St. Louis Cardinals fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.5¢
VWAP 24h53.2¢▼ below by 32.7pp
VWAP 7d53.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$570
80¢
$5.6K
75¢
$6.0K
70¢
$19
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$26.6K
55¢
$27
50¢
$101.7K
45¢
$14.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$216
30¢
$9.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$3.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$15.0K@ 36.5¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYWashington Nationals$100.0K@ 50.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Washington Nationals$100.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
EztennisSt. Louis Cardinals$15.0K
BUY VWAP 36.5¢·1 fill
quavooWashington Nationals$11.0K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.