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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Sports→Settlement: St. Louis CardinalsLiquidity: $223.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.4KEvent: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
100.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals payout
0.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:102 trades$128.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 90%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $43.4K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$53.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh Pirates$14.0K@ 56¢·Runemup

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome St. Louis Cardinals. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 23 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $23.2K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $6.7K gross
65123953145978842 linked markets · $688 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $422 → $428 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor St. Louis Cardinals; negative values favor Pittsburgh Pirates. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSt. Louis Cardinals · $14
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $41.7K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $32.2K

St. Louis Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted St. Louis Cardinals price. Pittsburgh Pirates fills are converted to the complementary St. Louis Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▲ above by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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St. Louis Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.6K
90¢
$7.6K
85¢
$2.9K
80¢
$49
75¢
$251
70¢
$3
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$11.1K
45¢
$10.2K
40¢
$68.3K
35¢
$263
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$8.1K
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$14.0K@ 56.2¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$10.9K@ 57.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.5K@ 57.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$11.0K@ 44.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc323…0077Pittsburgh Pirates$17.4K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·2 fills
SDTradingSt. Louis Cardinals$15.4K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills
RunemupPittsburgh Pirates$14.0K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Pittsburgh Pirates$14.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.