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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

Sports→Settlement: Atlanta BravesLiquidity: $750.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $548.0KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
0.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
100.0¢
Atlanta Braves payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:159 trades$216.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $484 net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$61.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati Reds$19.0K@ 29¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Atlanta Braves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 23 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $38.6K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $29.1K gross
1winstreak13 linked markets · $26.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 52.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 72.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -14.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 29.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp
Latest book event: Atlanta Braves UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $871 → $2.0K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $188
6hAtlanta Braves · $19.1K
24hAtlanta Braves · $34.1K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.8¢▼ below by 33.8pp
VWAP 7d33.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$10.8K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$14.6K
40¢
$60.2K
35¢
$23.2K
30¢
$12.6K
25¢
$50.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$18.1K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAtlanta Braves$11.1K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$12.9K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$11.7K@ 39.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$19.0K@ 29.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$15.0K@ 72.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KosherlocksAtlanta Braves$19.3K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Cincinnati Reds$19.0K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Atlanta Braves$17.3K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·3 fills
0x3dfb…abafAtlanta Braves$16.6K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·2 fills
1winstreak1Atlanta Braves$16.4K
BUY VWAP 77.1¢·7 fills
sulumosCincinnati Reds$11.7K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardCincinnati Reds$11.3K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.