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UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $41.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $4.7KEvent: UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)
50.5¢
Marcus McGhee
49.5¢
Bernardo Sopaj
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:4 trades$24.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 129 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarcus McGhee$9.3K@ 51¢·GambleFroth

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$12.5K
tracked
$24.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 129 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marcus McGhee; negative values favor Bernardo Sopaj. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarcus McGhee · $0
6hMarcus McGhee · $12.5K
24hMarcus McGhee · $12.5K

Marcus McGhee price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marcus McGhee price. Bernardo Sopaj fills are converted to the complementary Marcus McGhee probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h51.7¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d51.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marcus McGhee price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$24.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.