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West Virginia vs. Iowa State

Sports→Settlement: Iowa StateLiquidity: $456.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $608.2KEvent: West Virginia vs. Iowa State
0.0¢
West Virginia payout
100.0¢
Iowa State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:105 trades$286.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 979 min agoofficial metadata 954 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iowa State · $9.9K net·19 wallets·$41.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIowa State$78.5K@ 60¢·juice-fruit

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iowa State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "West Virginia" if West Virginia win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between West Virginia and Iowa State, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "West Virginia" if West Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $43.2K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $19.2K gross
curie2 linked markets · $14.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Iowa State@ 60.0¢20h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Iowa State@ 60.0¢20h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Iowa State UP 16.0pp · near-book depth $75 → $1.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor West Virginia; negative values favor Iowa State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIowa State · $17.2K
6hIowa State · $220.5K
24hIowa State · $219.0K

West Virginia price VWAP

Volume-weighted West Virginia price. Iowa State fills are converted to the complementary West Virginia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▼ below by 38.3pp
VWAP 7d38.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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West Virginia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3
60¢
$65
55¢
$21
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$6.6K
40¢
$243.9K
35¢
$3.8K
30¢
$10.6K
25¢
$3.0K
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$2
10¢
$22
5¢
$5.0K
0¢
← now
$9.4K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIowa State$16.7K@ 59.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYIowa State$10.8K@ 60.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYIowa State$78.5K@ 60.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYIowa State$65.4K@ 59.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

juice-fruitIowa State$196.2K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·8 fills
mooseborzoiiIowa State$25.1K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills
curieIowa State$14.3K
BUY VWAP 96.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.