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LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $815.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $906.6KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
0.1¢
LGD Gaming
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:455 trades$500.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $24.7K net·26 wallets(1🐋)·$71.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBNK FEARX$31.6K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

BNK FEARX pressure: $61.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$61.0K
6h
−$161.9K
tracked
$500.2K

26 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $24.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +40.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 40.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BNK FEARX or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against LGD Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between LGD Gaming and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51203 linked markets · $71.9K gross
geiyecapixie3 linked markets · $55.3K gross
aomendushen0083 linked markets · $30.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 60.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: LGD Gaming UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $46 → $448 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LGD Gaming; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $61.0K
6hBNK FEARX · $161.9K
24hBNK FEARX · $167.6K

LGD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted LGD Gaming price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary LGD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.9¢▼ below by 25.9pp
VWAP 7d25.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LGD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$74.1K
35¢
$186.3K
30¢
$13.7K
25¢
$10.2K
20¢
$8.0K
15¢
$30.7K
10¢
$25.9K
5¢
$15.5K
0¢
← now
$135.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX$31.6K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—2 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$10.6K@ 99.9¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—11 minutes ago
SELLBNK FEARX$15.0K@ 99.9¢
geiyecapixie0xcae6…4f85
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.3K@ 63.0¢
0xheavy8880xec98…afcd
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$14.6K@ 64.9¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.7K@ 65.0¢
wangyou12880x9283…4277
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBNK FEARX$12.0K@ 64.8¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.0K@ 84.6¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$16.4K@ 57.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

five5120BNK FEARX$23.9K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·4 fills
MeiGuNiuBiBNK FEARX$17.7K
BUY VWAP 59.3¢·4 fills
0x9e3e…f882BNK FEARX$16.9K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·12 fills
Lakersfan111BNK FEARX$16.4K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
wangyou1288BNK FEARX$15.0K
BUY VWAP 64.7¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileBNK FEARX$14.6K
BUY VWAP 64.9¢·1 fill
geiyecapixieBNK FEARX$12.7K
BUY VWAP 94.1¢·8 fills
Jer-PredictBNK FEARX$12.0K
BUY VWAP 64.8¢·1 fill
0xheavy888BNK FEARX$10.3K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.