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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $341.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $583.8KEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
70.5¢
Team Yandex payout
29.5¢
Natus Vincere payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:163 trades$260.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Yandex · $3.5K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$32.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex$27.6K@ 100¢·DotG

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 18:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Yandex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 39m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 39m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ribalka2 linked markets · $57.0K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $38.7K gross
darkmarketmaker3 linked markets · $28.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Yandex1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Yandex1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 90.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 90.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Yandex; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $80.6K
6hTeam Yandex · $120.6K
24hTeam Yandex · $120.6K

Team Yandex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Yandex price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary Team Yandex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h87.0¢▼ below by 16.5pp
VWAP 7d87.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Yandex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$113.4K
90¢
$12.7K
85¢
$8.6K
80¢
$5.3K
75¢
$102.1K
70¢
← now
$18.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Yandex$13.0K@ 99.9¢
GrizzliesSuck0x412f…30fa
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex$27.6K@ 99.9¢
DotG0xcd36…0f01
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex$11.2K@ 75.0¢
tyutgbhnm0x5ad7…ae48
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DotGTeam Yandex$27.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
tyutgbhnmTeam Yandex$19.8K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills
darkmarketmakerTeam Yandex$17.5K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·6 fills
GEAEWTeam Yandex$16.2K
BUY VWAP 73.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.