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Indiana vs. Nebraska

Sports→American FootballSettlement: IndianaLiquidity: $135.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $938.1KEvent: Indiana vs. Nebraska
100.0¢
Indiana payout
0.0¢
Nebraska payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:160 trades$466.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 952 min agoofficial metadata 936 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Indiana · $74.7K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$205.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndiana$60.7K@ 73¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Indiana. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Nebraska, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Indiana@ 98.9¢16h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Nebraska17h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Nebraska@ 67.0¢17h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Indiana@ 76.0¢20h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Nebraska DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $870 → $27 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Indiana; negative values favor Nebraska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIndiana · $139.2K
6hIndiana · $189.2K
24hIndiana · $212.3K

Indiana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Indiana price. Nebraska fills are converted to the complementary Indiana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.0¢▲ above by 31.0pp
VWAP 7d69.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Indiana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$40.1K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$146.3K
70¢
$76.4K
65¢
$23.8K
60¢
$464
55¢
$30.6K
50¢
$57.7K
45¢
$31.6K
40¢
$12.6K
35¢
$10.4K
30¢
$1
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIndiana$10.2K@ 99.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYIndiana$60.7K@ 73.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYIndiana$40.0K@ 89.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYIndiana$11.9K@ 76.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYIndiana$29.5K@ 76.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYIndiana$23.6K@ 50.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYNebraska$19.3K@ 43.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYIndiana$40.2K@ 75.3¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYIndiana$18.4K@ 75.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazIndiana$102.1K
BUY VWAP 74.2¢·3 fills
KosherlocksIndiana$40.2K
BUY VWAP 75.3¢·1 fill
177-letsgoIndiana$40.0K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
0x5375…aeeaIndiana$28.5K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·19 fills
mooseborzoiiIndiana$27.3K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·8 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Indiana$23.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
tennischampIndiana$23.0K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills
ethanazNebraska$19.3K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerNebraska$16.8K
BUY VWAP 38.5¢·4 fills
redvinnyNebraska$11.0K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.