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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Spirit
0.1¢
PARIVISION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 45 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:584 trades$497.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PARIVISION · $31.3K net·45 wallets(2🐋)·$180.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPARIVISION$12.9K@ 64¢·Sunshine.Smile

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

PARIVISION pressure: $61.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$61.0K
6h
−$62.1K
tracked
$497.7K

45 verified profitable wallets: PARIVISION · $31.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +61.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 61.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from PARIVISION or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against PARIVISION.

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Team Spirit and PARIVISION in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $143.8K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $91.9K gross
Sunshine.Smile2 linked markets · $87.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL PARIVISION30m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL PARIVISION@ 61.0¢42m ago
15m CONFIRMED +46.0pp
Latest book event: Team Spirit DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $10.0K → $4.8K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor PARIVISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPARIVISION · $61.0K
6hPARIVISION · $62.1K
24hPARIVISION · $62.1K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. PARIVISION fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▲ above by 48.9pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$78.6K
90¢
$12.0K
85¢
$15.6K
80¢
$6.2K
75¢
$9.9K
70¢
$7.5K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$5.1K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$199
45¢
$13.1K
40¢
$93.4K
35¢
$120.0K
30¢
$66.7K
25¢
$31.2K
20¢
$28.6K
15¢
$5.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPARIVISION$12.2K@ 60.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—42 minutes ago
SELLPARIVISION$12.9K@ 64.4¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—43 minutes ago
SELLPARIVISION$12.4K@ 67.7¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYPARIVISION$10.0K@ 62.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$11.7K@ 36.0¢
NeverLoseBet0x3990…3401
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtPARIVISION$20.6K
BUY VWAP 61.9¢·4 fills
0xe16d…5e30PARIVISION$20.3K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·4 fills
0xf201…527eTeam Spirit$16.3K
BUY VWAP 40.7¢·9 fills
NetrolTeam Spirit$12.6K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·3 fills
NeverLoseBetTeam Spirit$11.7K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.