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W15 Maanshan: Ha Yoon Son vs Darja Suvirdjonkova

● quote 28 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $21.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $90.4KEvent: W15 Maanshan: Ha Yoon Son vs Darja Suvirdjonkova
99.6¢
Ha Yoon Son
0.4¢
Darja Suvirdjonkova
0.9¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$39.6K trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 688 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ha Yoon Son · $554 net·2 wallets·$554 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHa Yoon Son$6.3K@ 99¢·Gambler661

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$39.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Ha Yoon Son · $554 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.9¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 28 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 688 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ha Yoon Son and Darja Suvirdjonkova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ha Yoon Son' if Ha Yoon Son advances against Darja Suvirdjonkova. This market will resolve to 'Darja Suvirdjonkova' if Darja Suvirdjonkova advances against Ha Yoon Son. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Ha Yoon Son UP 19.5pp · near-book depth $4.1K → $119 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ha Yoon Son; negative values favor Darja Suvirdjonkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHa Yoon Son · $0
6hHa Yoon Son · $0
24hHa Yoon Son · $5.8K

Ha Yoon Son price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ha Yoon Son price. Darja Suvirdjonkova fills are converted to the complementary Ha Yoon Son probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.6¢
VWAP 24h72.2¢▲ above by 27.3pp
VWAP 7d72.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ha Yoon Son price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$7.9K
60¢
$6.4K
55¢
$60
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$155
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lfjlwkflwekflHa Yoon Son$13.7K
BUY VWAP 53.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.