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Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $22.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $121.9KEvent: Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
100.0¢
LOUD
0.1¢
Global Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$32.2K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Global Esports · $1.3K net·5 wallets·$6.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOUD$5.4K@ 64¢·0xcf60…a6f5

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Global Esports pressure: $4.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.2K
6h
−$3.1K
tracked
$32.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Global Esports · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Global Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 2 against Global Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win Map 2 against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between LOUD and Global Esports in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 2 against Global Esports. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win Map 2 against LOUD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77883 linked markets · $59.3K gross
0x076d…8d4c3 linked markets · $45.1K gross
0xcf60…a6f52 linked markets · $8.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Global Esports DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $48 → $1 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor Global Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGlobal Esports · $4.2K
6hGlobal Esports · $3.1K
24hGlobal Esports · $3.1K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. Global Esports fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.2¢▲ above by 29.7pp
VWAP 7d70.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.5K
90¢
$8.0K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$10
70¢
$94
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$14.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.