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Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $74.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $493.8KEvent: Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
92.0¢
LOUD
8.0¢
Global Esports
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$196.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Global Esports · $36.3K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$41.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGlobal Esports$50.0K@ 44¢·fantasy7788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW LOUD SETUP
What the tape says

LOUD pressure: $4.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.8K
6h
−$68.5K
tracked
$196.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Global Esports · $36.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 85% · priority 64

Since latest whale follow through: -42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOUD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Global Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win the match against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between LOUD and Global Esports in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Global Esports. This market will resolve to "Global Esports" if Global Esports win the match against LOUD. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77883 linked markets · $59.3K gross
0x076d…8d4c3 linked markets · $45.1K gross
0xcf60…a6f52 linked markets · $8.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Global Esports@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Global Esports1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Global Esports1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Global Esports@ 45.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -28.0pp
Latest book event: LOUD UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $993 → $2.0K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor Global Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $4.8K
6hGlobal Esports · $68.5K
24hGlobal Esports · $102.9K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. Global Esports fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.0¢
VWAP 24h59.0¢▲ above by 33.0pp
VWAP 7d59.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$5.5K
85¢
$7.8K
80¢
$5.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$260
55¢
$165.2K
50¢
$8.8K
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$104
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGlobal Esports$30.5K@ 45.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGlobal Esports$50.0K@ 43.6¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGlobal Esports$24.3K@ 45.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fantasy7788Global Esports$50.0K
BUY VWAP 43.6¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cGlobal Esports$36.6K
BUY VWAP 44.8¢·4 fills
qiu3Global Esports$34.6K
BUY VWAP 44.7¢·5 fills
PS003LOUD$15.2K
BUY VWAP 58.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.