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LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $408.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $339.7KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
0.1¢
LGD Gaming
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly23Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:109 trades$168.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $19.1K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$30.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$21.5K@ 100¢·0xd016…6114

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.1K
6h
−$31.4K
tracked
$168.8K

11 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $19.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 41 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against LGD Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between LGD Gaming and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51203 linked markets · $71.9K gross
geiyecapixie3 linked markets · $55.3K gross
wangyou12882 linked markets · $43.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LGD Gaming; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $1.1K
6hBNK FEARX · $31.4K
24hBNK FEARX · $32.9K

LGD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted LGD Gaming price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary LGD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h11.9¢▼ below by 11.8pp
VWAP 7d11.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LGD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$42.7K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$2.5K
10¢
$2.7K
5¢
$1.8K
0¢
← now
$112.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBNK FEARX$12.0K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$21.5K@ 99.7¢0xd016…6114🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$13.6K@ 61.8¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd016…6114BNK FEARX$21.5K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileBNK FEARX$13.6K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·1 fill
littlelonely777BNK FEARX$12.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.