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Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De Cuyper

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $100.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $124.0KEvent: Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De Cuyper
100.0¢
Max Purcell
0.1¢
Julien De Cuyper
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection37Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$14.8K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Max Purcell · $142 net·4 wallets·$157 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJulien De Cuyper$9.0K@ 10¢·0xe30e…6b87

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Max Purcell pressure: $5.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.5K
6h
−$3.2K
tracked
$14.8K

4 verified profitable wallets: Max Purcell · $142 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Max Purcell or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Julien De Cuyper in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Julien De Cuyper. This market will resolve to 'Julien De Cuyper' if Julien De Cuyper advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Max Purcell UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $22.5K → $5.3K · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Purcell; negative values favor Julien De Cuyper. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMax Purcell · $5.5K
6hJulien De Cuyper · $3.2K
24hJulien De Cuyper · $3.2K

Max Purcell price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Purcell price. Julien De Cuyper fills are converted to the complementary Max Purcell probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h93.4¢▲ above by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d93.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Purcell price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.8K
90¢
$9.0K
85¢
$53
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.