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Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa

Sports→Settlement: Blake BayldonLiquidity: $153.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $161.7KEvent: Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa
100.0¢
Blake Bayldon payout
0.0¢
Taisei Ichikawa payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:55 trades$29.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 96 min agoofficial metadata 61 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taisei Ichikawa · $1.3K net·4 wallets·$1.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBlake Bayldon$26.5K@ 19¢·0xe30e…6b87

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Blake Bayldon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Bayldon and Taisei Ichikawa in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Bayldon' if Blake Bayldon advances against Taisei Ichikawa. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Ichikawa' if Taisei Ichikawa advances against Blake Bayldon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Blake Bayldon2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Blake Bayldon@ 28.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +63.0pp
Latest book event: Blake Bayldon UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $5.9K → $5 · 73s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Blake Bayldon; negative values favor Taisei Ichikawa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaisei Ichikawa · $1.3K
6hBlake Bayldon · $25.5K
24hBlake Bayldon · $25.5K

Blake Bayldon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Blake Bayldon price. Taisei Ichikawa fills are converted to the complementary Blake Bayldon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h21.8¢▲ above by 78.2pp
VWAP 7d21.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Blake Bayldon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$24
90¢
$0
85¢
$50
80¢
$32
75¢
$267
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$24
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$3
40¢
$0
35¢
$594
30¢
$555
25¢
$0
20¢
$45
15¢
$26.9K
10¢
$50
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBlake Bayldon$26.5K@ 18.9¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Blake Bayldon$26.5K
BUY VWAP 18.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.