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Wuning 3: Yuta Kikuchi vs Kosuke Ogura

Sports→Settlement: Yuta KikuchiLiquidity: $88.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $113.3KEvent: Wuning 3: Yuta Kikuchi vs Kosuke Ogura
100.0¢
Yuta Kikuchi payout
0.0¢
Kosuke Ogura payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:22 trades$31.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kosuke Ogura · $5.6K net·4 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYuta Kikuchi$25.8K@ 42¢·0xe30e…6b87

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Yuta Kikuchi. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Kikuchi and Kosuke Ogura in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Kikuchi' if Yuta Kikuchi advances against Kosuke Ogura. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Yuta Kikuchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 40m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Yuta Kikuchi2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Yuta Kikuchi@ 43.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Yuta Kikuchi DOWN 4.8pp · near-book depth $165 → $10.5K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yuta Kikuchi; negative values favor Kosuke Ogura. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYuta Kikuchi · $24
6hYuta Kikuchi · $20.2K
24hYuta Kikuchi · $20.2K

Yuta Kikuchi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yuta Kikuchi price. Kosuke Ogura fills are converted to the complementary Yuta Kikuchi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h42.1¢▲ above by 57.9pp
VWAP 7d42.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yuta Kikuchi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9
90¢
$1
85¢
$0
80¢
$7
75¢
$16
70¢
$16
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$31
45¢
$0
40¢
$31.4K
35¢
$39
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYYuta Kikuchi$25.8K@ 42.0¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Yuta Kikuchi$25.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.