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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $412.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $218.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
100.0¢
Spirit
0.1¢
PARIVISION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection55Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$103.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $25.1K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$45.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit$19.7K@ 77¢·fkcvffcjt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Spirit pressure: $48.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$48.0K
6h
+$55.7K
tracked
$103.1K

11 verified profitable wallets: Spirit · $25.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 25.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against PARIVISION.

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Spirit and PARIVISION in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c3 linked markets · $57.5K gross
Sodoo2 linked markets · $38.6K gross
TommyLeePeeca2 linked markets · $25.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit22m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Spirit@ 75.0¢34m ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Spirit DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $13.6K → $2.3K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor PARIVISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpirit · $48.0K
6hSpirit · $55.7K
24hSpirit · $55.7K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. PARIVISION fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.8¢▲ above by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d79.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.6K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$7.2K
80¢
$5.1K
75¢
$58.5K
70¢
$5.7K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSpirit$19.7K@ 77.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSpirit$12.8K@ 77.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtSpirit$19.7K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
jaytee158Spirit$12.8K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.