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Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois Boisson

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $44.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $307.0KEvent: Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lois Boisson
40.5¢
Leolia Jeanjean
59.5¢
Lois Boisson
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly82Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:110 trades$98.8K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 34s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leolia Jeanjean · $8.3K net·15 wallets·$51.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLois Boisson$9.7K@ 68¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Lois Boisson pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
+$11.5K
tracked
$98.8K

15 verified profitable wallets: Leolia Jeanjean · $8.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -30.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lois Boisson or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Lois Boisson in the Adana, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Lois Boisson. This market will resolve to 'Lois Boisson' if Lois Boisson advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Leolia Jeanjean2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Leolia Jeanjean@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lois Boisson@ 61.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp
Latest book event: Lois Boisson UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $31.7K → $31.3K · 32s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leolia Jeanjean; negative values favor Lois Boisson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLois Boisson · $2.4K
6hLeolia Jeanjean · $11.5K
24hLois Boisson · $5.6K

Leolia Jeanjean price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leolia Jeanjean price. Lois Boisson fills are converted to the complementary Leolia Jeanjean probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h48.2¢▼ below by 7.7pp
VWAP 7d48.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Leolia Jeanjean price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$1.1K
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$24.1K
65¢
$7.2K
60¢
$298
55¢
$304
50¢
$5.8K
45¢
$7.6K
40¢
← now
$4.8K
35¢
$19
30¢
$34.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$9.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Lois Boisson$15.8K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesLeolia Jeanjean$14.2K
BUY VWAP 73.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.