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Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan

Sports→TennisSettlement: Akira SantillanLiquidity: $426.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $112.7KEvent: Wuning 3: Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan
0.0¢
Luca Castelnuovo payout
100.0¢
Akira Santillan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAkira Santillan$10.5K@ 67¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Akira Santillan. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Akira Santillan@ 77.0¢18d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Castelnuovo; negative values favor Akira Santillan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAkira Santillan · $15.7K
6hAkira Santillan · $13.2K
24hAkira Santillan · $13.2K

Luca Castelnuovo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Castelnuovo price. Akira Santillan fills are converted to the complementary Luca Castelnuovo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.0¢▼ below by 33.0pp
VWAP 7d33.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luca Castelnuovo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$4.9K
45¢
$17
40¢
$338
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$16.9K
25¢
$1.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.9K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAkira Santillan$10.5K@ 67.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—18 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.