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Wuning 3: Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko

Sports→TennisSettlement: Timofei DerepaskoLiquidity: $90.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $85.9KEvent: Wuning 3: Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko
0.0¢
Sergey Fomin payout
100.0¢
Timofei Derepasko payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSergey Fomin$11.6K@ 38¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Timofei Derepasko. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Timofei Derepasko. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 19d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sergey Fomin; negative values favor Timofei Derepasko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSergey Fomin · $11.3K
6hSergey Fomin · $5.6K
24hSergey Fomin · $5.6K

Sergey Fomin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sergey Fomin price. Timofei Derepasko fills are converted to the complementary Sergey Fomin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h29.6¢▼ below by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d29.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sergey Fomin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$11.6K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$5
15¢
$17
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$16

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSergey Fomin$11.6K@ 37.5¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—19 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.