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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto

Sports→Settlement: Rei SakamotoLiquidity: $680.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $339.7KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Kyrian Jacquet vs Rei Sakamoto
0.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet payout
100.0¢
Rei Sakamoto payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:126 trades$90.0K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rei Sakamoto · $1.3K net·11 wallets·$42.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyrian Jacquet$7.3K@ 58¢·SystemeBis

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rei Sakamoto. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-13 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Rei Sakamoto in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Rei Sakamoto UP 12.0pp · near-book depth $654 → $553 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyrian Jacquet; negative values favor Rei Sakamoto. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRei Sakamoto · $1.4K
6hRei Sakamoto · $2.9K
24hKyrian Jacquet · $12.5K

Kyrian Jacquet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyrian Jacquet price. Rei Sakamoto fills are converted to the complementary Kyrian Jacquet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.7¢▼ below by 48.7pp
VWAP 7d48.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kyrian Jacquet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$10
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$43.2K
50¢
$11.4K
45¢
$8.6K
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$4.6K
20¢
$808
15¢
$28
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardKyrian Jacquet$14.2K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·5 fills
SystemeBisKyrian Jacquet$11.6K
BUY VWAP 57.6¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardRei Sakamoto$10.8K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.