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Ohio vs. Sacramento State

Sports→American FootballCloses: 16 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $14.5KEvent: Ohio vs. Sacramento State
0.0¢
Ohio
0.0¢
Sacramento State
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$14.6K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ohio · $14.5K net·3 wallets·$14.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOhio$7.9K@ 86¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ohio pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.4K
6h
+$14.6K
tracked
$14.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Ohio · $14.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ohio or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Ohio and Sacramento State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game. This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $27.7K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.2K gross
UpTheBlues5 linked markets · $388 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ohio; negative values favor Sacramento State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOhio · $2.4K
6hOhio · $14.6K
24hOhio · $14.6K

Ohio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ohio price. Sacramento State fills are converted to the complementary Ohio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h86.2¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d86.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ohio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$14.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.