Spread: Ohio (-15.5)

● quote 13s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 15 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $18.2KEvent: Ohio vs. Sacramento State
56.5¢
Ohio
43.5¢
Sacramento State
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction12wallets33execution63priority48data 86%💡 1 smart
24h sample:3 trades$8.2K trackedsource coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOhio$6.7K@ 52¢·ic4cream

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Sacramento State pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
+$6.2K
tracked
$8.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Ohio · $6.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 48

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sacramento State or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 16 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $27.7K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.2K gross
UpTheBlues5 linked markets · $388 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hSacramento State · $1.0K
6hOhio · $6.2K
24hOhio · $6.2K

Ohio price VWAP

Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h52.7¢▲ above by 3.8pp
VWAP 7d52.7¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Ohio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$1.0K
50¢
$7.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.