PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Ohio (-16.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $24.6KEvent: Ohio vs. Sacramento State
54.5¢
Ohio
45.5¢
Sacramento State
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$13.8K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOhio$12.5K@ 52¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ohio pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.3K
6h
+$13.8K
tracked
$13.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Ohio · $13.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ohio or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 17 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $27.7K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.2K gross
UpTheBlues5 linked markets · $388 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ohio; negative values favor Sacramento State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOhio · $1.3K
6hOhio · $13.8K
24hOhio · $13.8K

Ohio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ohio price. Sacramento State fills are converted to the complementary Ohio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h52.2¢▲ above by 2.3pp
VWAP 7d52.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ohio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$13.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOhio$12.5K@ 52.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Ohio (-17.5)
48.5¢$26.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-15.5)
56.5¢$18.2Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ohio vs. Sacramento State
0.0¢$14.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)
0.0¢$12.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-12.5)
0.0¢$62priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-10.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-8.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ohio (-20.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Ohio$13.8K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.