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Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $25.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $278.5KEvent: Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
67.5¢
G2 Esports
32.5¢
T1
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution71Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$126.9K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports$25.6K@ 62¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

G2 Esports pressure: $41.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$41.4K
6h
+$77.1K
tracked
$126.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: T1 · $11 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 55

Since latest market sweep: -8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from G2 Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against T1.

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against G2 Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between G2 Esports and T1 in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY T1@ 41.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY G2 Esports@ 65.0¢35m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY G2 Esports@ 65.0¢42m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY G2 Esports@ 64.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: T1 DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.6K → $1.9K · 65s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor G2 Esports; negative values favor T1. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hG2 Esports · $41.4K
6hG2 Esports · $77.1K
24hG2 Esports · $77.1K

G2 Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted G2 Esports price. T1 fills are converted to the complementary G2 Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h63.3¢▲ above by 4.2pp
VWAP 7d63.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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G2 Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$14.9K
60¢
$111.9K
55¢
$55
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYT1$10.0K@ 38.4¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYT1$10.3K@ 36.0¢
tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfd
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYG2 Esports$17.4K@ 64.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYG2 Esports$16.0K@ 63.0¢
MeiGuNiuBi0xdd88…dadb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2 Esports$25.6K@ 62.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111G2 Esports$43.0K
BUY VWAP 62.8¢·2 fills
mbmbbbmbvG2 Esports$25.6K
BUY VWAP 63.5¢·7 fills
MeiGuNiuBiG2 Esports$19.2K
BUY VWAP 63.2¢·3 fills
tankfest2027T1$10.3K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·1 fill
fantasy7788T1$10.0K
BUY VWAP 38.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.