PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Sports→TennisSettlement: NOLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 41m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $4.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Valentin Vacherot (+1.5)
99.6¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
67.5¢$3.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
8.5¢$917.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp
0.0¢$656.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
46.5¢$639.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
100.0¢$546.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.