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Dota 2: Su4 Esport vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs

● quote 49 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: 31 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Dota 2: Su4 Esport vs Cresent (BO3) - DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
99.6¢
Su4 Esport
0.4¢
Cresent
0.7¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution65Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:5 trades$1.3K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 194 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSu4 Esport$1.1K@ 99¢·0xefbc…ba15

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.1K
tracked
$1.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.7¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 49 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 194 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Su4 Esport" if Su4 Esport win the match against Cresent.

•This market will resolve to "Cresent" if Cresent win the match against Su4 Esport.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal match between Su4 Esport and Cresent in the DreamLeague China Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Su4 Esport" if Su4 Esport win the match against Cresent. This market will resolve to "Cresent" if Cresent win the match against Su4 Esport. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Su4 Esport; negative values favor Cresent. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSu4 Esport · $0
6hSu4 Esport · $1.1K
24hSu4 Esport · $1.1K

Su4 Esport price VWAP

Volume-weighted Su4 Esport price. Cresent fills are converted to the complementary Su4 Esport probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.6¢
VWAP 24h93.3¢▲ above by 6.3pp
VWAP 7d93.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Su4 Esport price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$81
55¢
$0
50¢
$87
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.