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Maia: Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Sports→TennisSettlement: Francesco PassaroLiquidity: $97.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.5KEvent: Maia: Francesco Passaro vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
100.0¢
Francesco Passaro payout
0.0¢
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francesco Passaro · $2.4K net·8 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancesco Passaro$14.2K@ 91¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Francesco Passaro. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-22 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Passaro' if Francesco Passaro advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Francesco Passaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francesco Passaro; negative values favor Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancesco Passaro · $0
6hFrancesco Passaro · $22.4K
24hFrancesco Passaro · $22.4K

Francesco Passaro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francesco Passaro price. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo fills are converted to the complementary Francesco Passaro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.4¢▲ above by 12.6pp
VWAP 7d87.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francesco Passaro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.6K
90¢
$16.6K
85¢
$4.8K
80¢
$175
75¢
$347
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$728
55¢
$9
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancesco Passaro$14.2K@ 91.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtFrancesco Passaro$14.2K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.