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Scaligera Basket Verona vs. Pallacanestro Varese

Sports→BasketballCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.1KEvent: Scaligera Basket Verona vs. Pallacanestro Varese

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Scaligera Basket Verona
—
Pallacanestro Varese
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$1.7K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 629 min agoofficial metadata 511 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pallacanestro Varese · $1.7K net·2 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPallacanestro Varese$1.7K@ 96¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$1.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pallacanestro Varese · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 629 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a
Outcome meaning

•If the Scaligera Basket Verona win, the market will resolve to "Scaligera Basket Verona".

•If the Pallacanestro Varese win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Varese".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00PM ET: If the Scaligera Basket Verona win, the market will resolve to "Scaligera Basket Verona". If the Pallacanestro Varese win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Varese". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Scaligera Basket Verona; negative values favor Pallacanestro Varese. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hScaligera Basket Verona · $0
6hScaligera Basket Verona · $0
24hPallacanestro Varese · $1.7K

Scaligera Basket Verona price VWAP

Volume-weighted Scaligera Basket Verona price. Pallacanestro Varese fills are converted to the complementary Scaligera Basket Verona probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h5.15¢
VWAP 7d5.15¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Scaligera Basket Verona price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$22
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$27
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$1.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.