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Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff

● quote 98 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $355.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $609.7KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Indicative prices · 98 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Jiri Lehecka
0.1¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets42Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:113 trades$329.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 160 min agoofficial metadata 98 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jiri Lehecka · $7.5K net·7 wallets·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$192.0K@ 96¢·Tan4321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$175.2K
tracked
$329.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: Jiri Lehecka · $7.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +44.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 98 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 160 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 98 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $170 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jan-Lennard Struff4h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Jan-Lennard Struff4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 57.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Jan-Lennard Struff DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $482 → $5.6K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jiri Lehecka; negative values favor Jan-Lennard Struff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJiri Lehecka · $0
6hJiri Lehecka · $175.2K
24hJiri Lehecka · $168.7K

Jiri Lehecka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jiri Lehecka price. Jan-Lennard Struff fills are converted to the complementary Jiri Lehecka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h81.54¢▲ above by 18.4pp
VWAP 7d81.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jiri Lehecka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$211.8K
90¢
$6.5K
85¢
$19.7K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$12.7K
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$12
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$11.6K
40¢
$32.3K
35¢
$2.3K
30¢
$13.9K
25¢
$3.8K
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$21
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJiri Lehecka$192.0K@ 96.0¢
Tan43210x4ab9…077b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$10.0K@ 60.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Tan4321Jiri Lehecka$192.0K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·1 fill
robustmstJan-Lennard Struff$29.1K
BUY VWAP 58.80¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesJiri Lehecka$25.6K
BUY VWAP 78.86¢·18 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.