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Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 22 minutesLiquidity: $20.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $299.3KEvent: Trail Blazers vs. Jazz

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

30.5¢
Over
69.5¢
Under
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution62Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority40Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:65 trades$146.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $14.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$81.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$17.5K@ 48¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Over pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.4K
6h
+$30.8K
tracked
$146.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Under · $14.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 77% · priority 40

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Trail Blazers and Jazz combine to score 233 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 233, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Trail Blazers and Jazz combine to score 233 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 233, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz264 linked markets · $73.7K gross
ferrariChampions20265 linked markets · $70.1K gross
HomeRunHazard10 linked markets · $53.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 51.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Under UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $527 → $73 · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $3.4K
6hOver · $30.8K
24hOver · $30.8K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h50.14¢▼ below by 19.6pp
VWAP 7d50.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$101.3K
45¢
$45.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$17.5K@ 48.26¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Under$30.6K
BUY VWAP 50.00¢·9 fills
ferrariChampions2026Over$23.0K
BUY VWAP 48.44¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Under$14.5K
BUY VWAP 49.47¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardOver$10.5K
BUY VWAP 49.79¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.