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Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $116.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $616.8KEvent: Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Petr Bar Biryukov
99.95¢
Yaroslav Demin
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:238 trades$274.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Petr Bar Biryukov · $5.5K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$170.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYaroslav Demin$39.9K@ 71¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Petr Bar Biryukov pressure: $82.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$82.6K
6h
+$39.6K
tracked
$274.4K

12 verified profitable wallets: Petr Bar Biryukov · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Petr Bar Biryukov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Bar Biryukov and Yaroslav Demin in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Yaroslav Demin. This market will resolve to 'Yaroslav Demin' if Yaroslav Demin advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Petr Bar Biryukov@ 74.0¢51m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Petr Bar Biryukov51m ago
Outcome checks pending
THESIS FLIPBUY Petr Bar Biryukov@ 51.0¢53m ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp
ANTI CHASESELL Yaroslav Demin54m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Petr Bar Biryukov DOWN 28.0pp · near-book depth $21 → $301 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Petr Bar Biryukov; negative values favor Yaroslav Demin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPetr Bar Biryukov · $82.6K
6hPetr Bar Biryukov · $39.6K
24hPetr Bar Biryukov · $39.6K

Petr Bar Biryukov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Petr Bar Biryukov price. Yaroslav Demin fills are converted to the complementary Petr Bar Biryukov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h38.89¢▼ below by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d38.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Petr Bar Biryukov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.4K
75¢
$142
70¢
$15.6K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$563
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$67.7K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$72.1K
35¢
$9.9K
30¢
$6.3K
25¢
$52.3K
20¢
$631
15¢
$36
10¢
$101
5¢
$131
0¢
← now
$35.8K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYaroslav Demin$32.5K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYPetr Bar Biryukov$11.1K@ 50.99¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPetr Bar Biryukov$25.3K@ 52.64¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPetr Bar Biryukov$12.3K@ 50.74¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYYaroslav Demin$22.9K@ 58.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLYaroslav Demin$16.1K@ 58.11¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLPetr Bar Biryukov$13.8K@ 73.06¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPetr Bar Biryukov$12.5K@ 29.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYYaroslav Demin$39.9K@ 70.68¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiPetr Bar Biryukov$50.3K
BUY VWAP 51.84¢·4 fills
WoaifacaiYaroslav Demin$39.9K
BUY VWAP 70.68¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Yaroslav Demin$27.2K
BUY VWAP 56.39¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Petr Bar Biryukov$13.7K
BUY VWAP 29.52¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.