surfing
0x3b4a4348eb19c3c4fff014fe938c1316118c07fb
$-841
Real PnL
-0.7%
ROI
$10.5K
Volume
$118.5K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
7
Trades (DB)
38/54
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:9 markets·current value $1.8K·57 closed
PnL by Market (66)9 open57 closed
● open No · $1.6Kin $3.2Kout $1.6Kunreal $-10
● open No · $37in $69unreal $-33
● open Yes · $61in $80unreal $-19
● open No · $26in $37unreal $-12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
● open No · $60in $48unreal +$12
Iran leadership change by December 31?
● open No · $47in $33unreal +$14
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
● open Yes · $0in $5unreal $-5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
● open No · $3in $3unreal +$0
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
● open Yes · $0in $0out $2unreal $-0
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
● closedin $15.0Kout $13.0K
● closedin $1.5K
● closedout $1.1K
● closedin $6.4Kout $7.3K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $21.0Kout $21.7K
● closedin $7.4Kout $7.7K
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
● closedin $1.7Kout $2.0K
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
● closedin $2.5Kout $2.8K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
● closedin $664out $924
● closedin $248out $440
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
● closedin $5.0Kout $5.2K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $3.2Kout $3.3K
● closedin $187out $72
● closedin $3.4Kout $3.5K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
● closedin $96out $0
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
● closedin $2.7Kout $2.7K
● closedin $3.1Kout $3.0K
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
● closedin $685out $760
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $18.7Kout $18.7K
● closedin $405out $474
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
● closedin $4.9Kout $5.0K
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
● closedin $86out $148
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedin $177out $232
● closedin $146out $197
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
● closedin $4.8Kout $4.9K
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
● closedin $107out $67
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closedin $1.8Kout $1.9K
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $23out $62
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
● closedin $5.0Kout $5.0K
● closedin $66out $95
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
● closedin $26out $55
● closedin $89out $63
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $74out $99
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
● closedin $23
● closedin $106out $85
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
● closedin $95out $115
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
● closedin $92out $110
● closedin $218out $201
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
● closedin $23out $39
● closedin $31out $46
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $85out $99
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
● closedin $83out $96
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?
● closedin $13
Government shutdown on Saturday?
● closedin $45out $35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
● closedin $30out $22
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
● closedin $7out $1
● closedin $415out $410
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
● closedin $2out $5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
● closedout $2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $3out $5
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?
● closedin $2.5Kout $2.5K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
● closedout $2
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
● closedin $1
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
● closedin $1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
● closedin $1out $1
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
● closedin $10out $10
● closedin $57out $57
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $1.6K | $3.2K | $1.6K | $-10 | 6 | $-1614 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ●open No· $37 | $69 | $0 | $-33 | 1 | $-102 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? ●open Yes· $61 | $80 | $0 | $-19 | 1 | $-99 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ●open No· $26 | $37 | $0 | $-12 | 1 | $-49 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? ●open No· $60 | $48 | $0 | +$12 | 1 | $-36 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? ●open No· $47 | $33 | $0 | +$14 | 1 | $-19 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31? ●open Yes· $0 | $5 | $0 | $-5 | 1 | $-10 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? ●open No· $3 | $3 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-3 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? ●open Yes· $0 | $0 | $2 | $-0 | 5 | +$1 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? ● closed | $15.0K | $13.0K | — | 30 | $-2042 |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? ● closed | $1.5K | $0 | — | 10 | $-1498 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $1.1K | — | 1 | +$1.1K |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3? ● closed | $6.4K | $7.3K | — | 13 | +$915 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $21.0K | $21.7K | — | 56 | +$623 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ● closed | $7.4K | $7.7K | — | 12 | +$283 |
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? ● closed | $1.7K | $2.0K | — | 11 | +$282 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? ● closed | $2.5K | $2.8K | — | 17 | +$269 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? ● closed | $664 | $924 | — | 3 | +$260 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $248 | $440 | — | 11 | +$192 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? ● closed | $5.0K | $5.2K | — | 9 | +$182 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $3.2K | $3.3K | — | 20 | +$136 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? ● closed | $187 | $72 | — | 3 | $-115 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ● closed | $3.4K | $3.5K | — | 8 | +$102 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $96 | $0 | — | 2 | $-96 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? ● closed | $2.7K | $2.7K | — | 10 | +$79 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ● closed | $3.1K | $3.0K | — | 4 | $-76 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first? ● closed | $685 | $760 | — | 31 | +$76 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $18.7K | $18.7K | — | 28 | $-74 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $405 | $474 | — | 2 | +$69 |
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? ● closed | $4.9K | $5.0K | — | 14 | +$67 |
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? ● closed | $86 | $148 | — | 3 | +$62 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $177 | $232 | — | 18 | +$55 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $146 | $197 | — | 5 | +$51 |
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $4.8K | $4.9K | — | 8 | +$50 |
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20? ● closed | $107 | $67 | — | 3 | $-41 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $1.8K | $1.9K | — | 4 | +$40 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $23 | $62 | — | 9 | +$40 |
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? ● closed | $5.0K | $5.0K | — | 2 | +$35 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ● closed | $66 | $95 | — | 2 | +$29 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? ● closed | $26 | $55 | — | 3 | +$29 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $89 | $63 | — | 5 | $-26 |
Will France strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $74 | $99 | — | 2 | +$25 |
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? ● closed | $23 | $0 | — | 2 | $-23 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? ● closed | $106 | $85 | — | 45 | $-21 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? ● closed | $95 | $115 | — | 9 | +$20 |
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? ● closed | $92 | $110 | — | 2 | +$18 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $218 | $201 | — | 3 | $-17 |
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? ● closed | $23 | $39 | — | 4 | +$17 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $31 | $46 | — | 2 | +$15 |
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $85 | $99 | — | 2 | +$14 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? ● closed | $83 | $96 | — | 4 | +$13 |
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? ● closed | $13 | $0 | — | 2 | $-13 |
Government shutdown on Saturday? ● closed | $45 | $35 | — | 3 | $-9 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $30 | $22 | — | 2 | $-8 |
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? ● closed | $7 | $1 | — | 2 | $-6 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ● closed | $415 | $410 | — | 2 | $-5 |
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? ● closed | $2 | $5 | — | 5 | +$3 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $2 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $3 | $5 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20? ● closed | $2.5K | $2.5K | — | 5 | +$2 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $0 | $2 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? ● closed | $1 | $0 | — | 2 | $-1 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7? ● closed | $1 | $1 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31? ● closed | $10 | $10 | — | 2 | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ● closed | $57 | $57 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (14)
Trading Activity · 90d
5 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$18.1K55%6/11
Politics
$18750%1/2
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
9 betsunresolved0/0
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