vvvvvllllllvvvvv
0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1
+$8.2K
Real PnL
+1.8%
ROI
$156.6K
Volume
$453.1K
Invested
36.8%
YES Bias
19
Trades (DB)
36/41
Markets Won
whale16Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:20 markets·current value $92.8K·38 closed
PnL by Market (58)20 open38 closed
● open No · $60.3Kin $91unreal +$8.0K
● open No · $6.5Kin $6.1Kunreal +$412
● open No · $0in $15.1Kout $11.2Kunreal $-8
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?
● open No · $2.7Kin $2.2Kunreal +$133
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
● open No · $480in $620unreal $-140
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
● open No · $771in $749unreal +$22
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $709in $703unreal +$6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
● open No · $621in $595unreal +$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
● open No · $563in $543unreal +$20
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
● open No · $151in $50out $479unreal +$25
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?
● open No · $19.0Kin $476unreal +$849
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
● open Yes · $233in $216unreal +$17
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
● open Yes · $271in $225unreal +$46
Will Silver (SI) settle at $95-$100 in March?
● open No · $136in $134unreal +$2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
● open No · $129in $129unreal +$1
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
● open No · $107in $81unreal +$27
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
● open No · $45in $42unreal +$3
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
● open Yes · $4in $3.8Kout $3.8Kunreal $-0
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 6500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?
● open No · $6in $6unreal +$0
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?
● open No · $61in $33unreal +$28
● closedout $6.8K
Will Ceará SC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?
● closedin $955out $2.9K
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-03-21?
● closedin $17.2Kout $18.9K
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?
● closedin $3.2Kout $4.9K
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-21?
● closedin $8.8Kout $9.4K
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
● closedout $544
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?
● closedin $5.3Kout $5.7K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
● closedin $18.1Kout $18.4K
● closedin $54.9Kout $55.1K
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-22?
● closedin $2.3Kout $2.5K
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-03-22?
● closedin $2.1Kout $2.4K
● closedin $66.6Kout $66.7K
● closedin $458out $357
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
● closedin $6.0Kout $6.1K
Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
● closedin $46.8Kout $46.9K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
● closedin $24.8Kout $24.8K
● closedin $61.4Kout $61.5K
● closedin $2.1Kout $2.1K
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
● closedin $8.5Kout $8.5K
Will Cuiabá EC vs. América FC end in a draw?
● closedin $205out $243
● closedin $5.0Kout $5.1K
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?
● closedin $2.3Kout $2.3K
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
● closedin $7.4Kout $7.4K
Spread: Cuiabá EC (-2.5)
● closedin $155out $162
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?
● closedin $2.6Kout $2.6K
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
● closedin $11out $16
Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026?
● closedin $1.9Kout $1.9K
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-03-22?
● closedin $28out $31
Will Trump say "Favored Nation" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
● closedin $1.8Kout $1.8K
Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?
● closedin $2.3Kout $2.3K
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
● closedin $57out $59
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.4K
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 23?
● closedin $670out $671
Military action against Iran ends by March 21, 2026?
● closedin $190out $190
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
● closedin $50out $50
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 25?
● closedin $23out $23
● closedin $35.6Kout $35.6K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
● closedin $30.0Kout $30.0K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? ●open No· $60.3K | $91 | $0 | +$8.0K | 1 | +$7.9K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? ●open No· $6.5K | $6.1K | $0 | +$412 | 9 | $-5655 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ●open No· $0 | $15.1K | $11.2K | $-8 | 75 | $-3917 |
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1? ●open No· $2.7K | $2.2K | $0 | +$133 | 2 | $-2106 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? ●open No· $480 | $620 | $0 | $-140 | 2 | $-760 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ●open No· $771 | $749 | $0 | +$22 | 3 | $-727 |
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $709 | $703 | $0 | +$6 | 1 | $-697 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? ●open No· $621 | $595 | $0 | +$26 | 5 | $-569 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? ●open No· $563 | $543 | $0 | +$20 | 1 | $-523 |
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? ●open No· $151 | $50 | $479 | +$25 | 2 | +$454 |
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? ●open No· $19.0K | $476 | $0 | +$849 | 1 | +$373 |
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%? ●open Yes· $233 | $216 | $0 | +$17 | 3 | $-198 |
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? ●open Yes· $271 | $225 | $0 | +$46 | 2 | $-179 |
Will Silver (SI) settle at $95-$100 in March? ●open No· $136 | $134 | $0 | +$2 | 2 | $-132 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? ●open No· $129 | $129 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-128 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? ●open No· $107 | $81 | $0 | +$27 | 1 | $-54 |
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1? ●open No· $45 | $42 | $0 | +$3 | 1 | $-40 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? ●open Yes· $4 | $3.8K | $3.8K | $-0 | 8 | $-10 |
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 6500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? ●open No· $6 | $6 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-5 |
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01? ●open No· $61 | $33 | $0 | +$28 | 2 | $-5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? ● closed | $0 | $6.8K | — | 22 | +$6.8K |
Will Ceará SC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? ● closed | $955 | $2.9K | — | 9 | +$1.9K |
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-03-21? ● closed | $17.2K | $18.9K | — | 33 | +$1.7K |
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw? ● closed | $3.2K | $4.9K | — | 8 | +$1.6K |
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-21? ● closed | $8.8K | $9.4K | — | 15 | +$605 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $544 | — | 1 | +$544 |
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? ● closed | $5.3K | $5.7K | — | 37 | +$399 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? ● closed | $18.1K | $18.4K | — | 10 | +$294 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? ● closed | $54.9K | $55.1K | — | 8 | +$257 |
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-22? ● closed | $2.3K | $2.5K | — | 12 | +$255 |
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-03-22? ● closed | $2.1K | $2.4K | — | 17 | +$253 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? ● closed | $66.6K | $66.7K | — | 23 | +$118 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? ● closed | $458 | $357 | — | 7 | $-101 |
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026? ● closed | $6.0K | $6.1K | — | 9 | +$94 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26? ● closed | $46.8K | $46.9K | — | 17 | +$85 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026? ● closed | $24.8K | $24.8K | — | 6 | +$60 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? ● closed | $61.4K | $61.5K | — | 8 | +$57 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ● closed | $2.1K | $2.1K | — | 30 | +$55 |
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? ● closed | $8.5K | $8.5K | — | 12 | +$41 |
Will Cuiabá EC vs. América FC end in a draw? ● closed | $205 | $243 | — | 3 | +$38 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $5.0K | $5.1K | — | 10 | +$16 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026? ● closed | $2.3K | $2.3K | — | 3 | +$13 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026? ● closed | $7.4K | $7.4K | — | 3 | +$9 |
Spread: Cuiabá EC (-2.5) ● closed | $155 | $162 | — | 2 | +$7 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026? ● closed | $2.6K | $2.6K | — | 3 | +$6 |
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? ● closed | $11 | $16 | — | 11 | +$5 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026? ● closed | $1.9K | $1.9K | — | 2 | +$3 |
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-03-22? ● closed | $28 | $31 | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will Trump say "Favored Nation" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? ● closed | $1.8K | $1.8K | — | 5 | +$2 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026? ● closed | $2.3K | $2.3K | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? ● closed | $57 | $59 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.4K | — | 1 | +$1 |
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 23? ● closed | $670 | $671 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 21, 2026? ● closed | $190 | $190 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026? ● closed | $50 | $50 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 25? ● closed | $23 | $23 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? ● closed | $35.6K | $35.6K | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $30.0K | $30.0K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (19)
Trading Activity · 90d
7 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$35.6K0%0/1
Geopolitics
$22.7K60%3/5
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
5 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
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