TheRealWarMonger
0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
$-4312
Real PnL
-5.0%
ROI
$12.0K
Volume
$86.6K
Invested
100.0%
YES Bias
3
Trades (DB)
17/22
Markets Won
whale33Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:40 markets·current value $89.5K·11 closed
PnL by Market (51)40 open11 closed
● open No · $24.6Kin $7.1Kout $32.1Kunreal +$2.1K
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
● open No · $9.8Kin $9.2Kunreal +$247
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
● open Yes · $4.2Kin $5.7Kunreal $-1471
● open No · $6.0Kin $5.9Kunreal +$39
● open No · $5.2Kin $5.1Kunreal +$93
● open Yes · $9.7Kin $4.4Kunreal +$371
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $4.6Kin $12.4Kout $8.6Kunreal +$103
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $4.5Kin $3.4Kunreal +$158
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
● open No · $2.3Kin $3.5Kout $5.8Kunreal +$13
● open No · $1.9Kin $1.8Kunreal +$50
● open No · $1.8Kin $7.3Kout $5.6Kunreal +$33
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
● open No · $1.3Kin $1.3Kunreal +$71
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
● open No · $1.2Kin $1.2Kunreal $-1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
● open No · $1.1Kout $1.1Kunreal +$46
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $405in $585out $1.6Kunreal $-13
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $761in $708unreal +$53
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
● open No · $654in $616unreal +$37
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $567in $564unreal +$3
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $453in $450unreal +$3
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $385in $389unreal $-4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
● open No · $727in $390unreal +$64
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?
● open No · $334in $322unreal +$12
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $302in $305unreal $-4
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $214in $213unreal +$0
● open Yes · $25in $85unreal $-59
● open No · $137in $827out $696unreal $-2
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $172in $117unreal +$2
ECB rate hike in 2026?
● open Yes · $5.0Kin $957unreal +$847
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $97in $390out $293unreal $-1
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
● open No · $98in $97unreal +$1
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
● open No · $98in $95unreal +$3
Will Trump meet with Mark Zuckerberg in March 2026?
● open No · $95in $90unreal +$5
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
● open No · $80in $78unreal +$2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
● open No · $66in $65unreal +$1
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
● open No · $580out $30unreal +$24
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
● open No · $28in $48out $12unreal $-8
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
● open No · $29in $28unreal +$1
● open Yes · $50out $98unreal $-76
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $18in $16unreal +$2
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
● open Yes · $3in $3unreal +$0
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● closedout $7.0K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
● closedin $1.6Kout $3.5K
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
● closedout $1.7K
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
● closedout $742
● closedin $1.6Kout $2.3K
● closedin $2.9Kout $3.1K
● closedin $4.6Kout $4.8K
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?
● closedout $158
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
● closedout $30
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?
● closedin $164out $168
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?
● closedin $124out $126
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $24.6K | $7.1K | $32.1K | +$2.1K | 95 | +$27.0K |
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $9.8K | $9.2K | $0 | +$247 | 23 | $-8939 |
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ●open Yes· $4.2K | $5.7K | $0 | $-1471 | 6 | $-7169 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $6.0K | $5.9K | $0 | +$39 | 2 | $-5889 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $5.2K | $5.1K | $0 | +$93 | 11 | $-4975 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $9.7K | $4.4K | $0 | +$371 | 18 | $-3998 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $4.6K | $12.4K | $8.6K | +$103 | 16 | $-3703 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $4.5K | $3.4K | $0 | +$158 | 3 | $-3234 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $2.3K | $3.5K | $5.8K | +$13 | 9 | +$2.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $1.9K | $1.8K | $0 | +$50 | 1 | $-1770 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $1.8K | $7.3K | $5.6K | +$33 | 48 | $-1685 |
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $1.3K | $1.3K | $0 | +$71 | 3 | $-1180 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? ●open No· $1.2K | $1.2K | $0 | $-1 | 3 | $-1153 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? ●open No· $1.1K | $0 | $1.1K | +$46 | 7 | +$1.1K |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $405 | $585 | $1.6K | $-13 | 11 | +$1.0K |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $761 | $708 | $0 | +$53 | 2 | $-655 |
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? ●open No· $654 | $616 | $0 | +$37 | 9 | $-579 |
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $567 | $564 | $0 | +$3 | 9 | $-561 |
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $453 | $450 | $0 | +$3 | 3 | $-447 |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $385 | $389 | $0 | $-4 | 1 | $-392 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? ●open No· $727 | $390 | $0 | +$64 | 3 | $-326 |
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30? ●open No· $334 | $322 | $0 | +$12 | 11 | $-309 |
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $302 | $305 | $0 | $-4 | 4 | $-309 |
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $214 | $213 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-213 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? ●open Yes· $25 | $85 | $0 | $-59 | 10 | $-144 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ●open No· $137 | $827 | $696 | $-2 | 17 | $-134 |
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $172 | $117 | $0 | +$2 | 1 | $-115 |
ECB rate hike in 2026? ●open Yes· $5.0K | $957 | $0 | +$847 | 8 | $-111 |
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $97 | $390 | $293 | $-1 | 3 | $-98 |
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30? ●open No· $98 | $97 | $0 | +$1 | 2 | $-97 |
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $98 | $95 | $0 | +$3 | 3 | $-92 |
Will Trump meet with Mark Zuckerberg in March 2026? ●open No· $95 | $90 | $0 | +$5 | 1 | $-86 |
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30? ●open No· $80 | $78 | $0 | +$2 | 2 | $-76 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? ●open No· $66 | $65 | $0 | +$1 | 3 | $-63 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? ●open No· $580 | $0 | $30 | +$24 | 4 | +$53 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? ●open No· $28 | $48 | $12 | $-8 | 3 | $-44 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? ●open No· $29 | $28 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $50 | $0 | $98 | $-76 | 6 | +$22 |
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $18 | $16 | $0 | +$2 | 1 | $-14 |
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? ●open Yes· $3 | $3 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-3 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $7.0K | — | 47 | +$7.0K |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? ● closed | $1.6K | $3.5K | — | 12 | +$1.8K |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $1.7K | — | 7 | +$1.7K |
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? ● closed | $0 | $742 | — | 0 | +$742 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $1.6K | $2.3K | — | 7 | +$732 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ● closed | $2.9K | $3.1K | — | 4 | +$240 |
| Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ● closed | $4.6K | $4.8K | — | 10 | +$232 |
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $158 | — | 2 | +$158 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $30 | — | 2 | +$30 |
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31? ● closed | $164 | $168 | — | 4 | +$4 |
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31? ● closed | $124 | $126 | — | 20 | +$2 |
Recent Trades (7)
YES$999@ 99.9¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?11 days ago
YES$11.0K@ 99.9¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?🐋11 days ago
Trading Activity · 90d
4 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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