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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Geopolitics→Closes: 20 daysLiquidity: $884.1K24h Vol: $17.2M
2.1¢
YES
97.8¢
NO
95.7¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 7 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:1139 trades2% YES98% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·24 wallets(6🐋)·$580.0K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$173.7K@ 98¢·okcoolstorybro

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$4.9K
6h$32.6K
24h$165.4K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current2.1¢
VWAP 24h95.8¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d92.7¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$2.8M
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$15
0¢
← now
$150.6K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$15.8K@ 97.8¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+0.1%3 days ago
NO$15.8K@ 97.8¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+0.1%3 days ago
NO$173.7K@ 97.9¢
okcoolstorybro0x122c…821f
🐋+0.0%4 days ago
NO$10.3K@ 97.7¢
wkmfa5180xddff…52d6
🐋+0.2%5 days ago
NO$11.9K@ 97.4¢
Anjun0x4337…8882
🐋+0.5%5 days ago
NO$20.5K@ 97.4¢
Anjun0x4337…8882
🐋+0.5%5 days ago
NO$35.1K@ 97.2¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.7%5 days ago
NO$14.6K@ 97.4¢0x0026…aef7🐋+0.6%6 days ago
NO$11.6K@ 97.4¢0xc1fd…ba6c🐋+0.5%6 days ago
NO$12.0K@ 97.4¢
westminster0xbc43…1540
🐋+0.5%6 days ago
NO$17.8K@ 97.4¢0xc682…17bb🐋+0.5%6 days ago
NO$29.1K@ 97.3¢0xfcd0…391d🐋+0.6%6 days ago
NO$15.5K@ 97.2¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e
🐋+0.7%6 days ago
NO$34.9K@ 97.4¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋+0.5%6 days ago
NO$14.0K@ 97.1¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋+0.9%6 days ago
NO$15.6K@ 97.2¢0xdf70…5e92🐋+0.7%7 days ago
NO$79.9K@ 96.2¢
wkmfa5180xddff…52d6
🐋+1.8%7 days ago
NO$10.6K@ 96.2¢
wkmfa5180xddff…52d6
🐋+1.8%7 days ago
NO$21.5K@ 97.1¢
aoidwa0x4310…37e1
🐋+0.8%7 days ago
NO$26.7K@ 97.1¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.8%7 days ago
NO$12.7K@ 96.8¢0xf32a…06fd🐋+1.2%7 days ago
NO$20.4K@ 97.1¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.8%7 days ago
NO$51.5K@ 97.2¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.7%7 days ago
NO$20.8K@ 97.0¢
wkmfa5180xddff…52d6
🐋+0.9%8 days ago
NO$25.8K@ 96.1¢0xdbf1…86b5🐋+1.9%8 days ago
NO$11.3K@ 97.5¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.4%8 days ago
NO$12.8K@ 97.6¢
MEPP0x6d9f…9790
🐋+0.3%8 days ago
NO$25.8K@ 97.7¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.2%8 days ago
NO$22.0K@ 97.8¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+0.1%8 days ago
NO$56.7K@ 97.7¢0x4b29…716f🐋+0.2%9 days ago
NO$30.4K@ 97.5¢
wkmfa5180xddff…52d6
🐋+0.4%9 days ago
NO$14.1K@ 97.4¢
Trump20280x2e0b…8070
🐋+0.5%9 days ago
NO$19.6K@ 97.1¢
shibagege0xb6c8…b9e6
🐋+0.8%10 days ago
NO$29.1K@ 97.1¢
shibagege0xb6c8…b9e6
🐋+0.8%10 days ago
NO$14.6K@ 97.1¢
Istaroth0x9efd…ad00
🐋+0.8%10 days ago
NO$53.8K@ 97.0¢
tsekinming010x69aa…8847
🐋+0.9%10 days ago
NO$12.9K@ 96.7¢0x49e9…8f85🐋+1.3%10 days ago
NO$19.5K@ 96.2¢
davisb120xdf17…97d1
🐋+1.8%10 days ago
NO$14.7K@ 96.3¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+1.7%10 days ago
NO$12.8K@ 97.0¢
Istaroth0x9efd…ad00
🐋+1.0%11 days ago
NO$16.5K@ 96.9¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋+1.0%12 days ago
NO$28.5K@ 96.9¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋+1.0%12 days ago
NO$13.8K@ 96.4¢0x69ea…15cd🐋+1.6%12 days ago
NO$40.8K@ 96.3¢
stupid220x8afa…adb6
🐋+1.7%12 days ago
NO$48.1K@ 96.3¢0x7d33…5502🐋+1.7%12 days ago
NO$19.3K@ 96.3¢
tutrucks0xce71…83bc
🐋+1.7%12 days ago
NO$134.0K@ 96.3¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋+1.7%12 days ago
NO$29.9K@ 96.2¢
Parz1vaI0xb100…6461
🐋+1.8%13 days ago
NO$15.0K@ 96.3¢
Parz1vaI0xb100…6461
🐋+1.7%13 days ago
NO$15.0K@ 96.3¢
Parz1vaI0xb100…6461
🐋+1.7%13 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
okcoolstorybroNO$174.6K
wkmfa518NO$163.6K
Dafu0715NO$34.8K
anon0x5C7AeNO$31.9K
westminsterNO$30.4K
aoidwaNO$23.3K
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMANO$15.5K
GollumGekkoNO$14.5K
MEPPNO$12.8K
aaaaaagNO$11.5K