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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $225.0K24h Vol: $16.7M

24.0¢

YES

75.0¢

NO

51.0¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 8 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:1071 trades15% YES85% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:YES 64%·33 wallets(6🐋)·$504.2K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$38.1K@ 38¢·AllByMyseIf

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$6.2K

6h$29.0K

24h$92.7K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current24.0¢

VWAP 24h65.7¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d53.3¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$0

90¢

$0

85¢

$0

80¢

$13.3K

75¢

$33.4K

70¢

$235.5K

65¢

$144.1K

60¢

$232.1K

55¢

$452.1K

50¢

$466.2K

45¢

$409.5K

40¢

$501.3K

35¢

$295.2K

30¢

$67.2K

25¢

$59.6K

20¢

← now

$5.8K

15¢

$4.0K

10¢

$0

5¢

$0

0¢

$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

NO$16.3K@ 73.9¢0x56ad…f13e🐋+2.8%about 18 hours ago

NO$28.9K@ 73.2¢0xbe48…683f🐋+3.9%1 day ago

NO$13.0K@ 74.8¢0xc8ae…93ea🐋+1.6%2 days ago

YES$10.3K@ 40.9¢

Erasmus.0xc658…b784

🐋-41.3%3 days ago

YES$13.5K@ 40.0¢

mombil0x68c2…1711

🐋-40.0%4 days ago

YES$35.6K@ 44.0¢

Clicker10xc884…e17e

🐋-45.5%4 days ago

NO$15.0K@ 56.4¢0x11dc…be3b🐋+34.7%4 days ago

NO$11.9K@ 58.0¢0x0cb1…dea6🐋+31.0%5 days ago

YES$10.8K@ 50.0¢

classified0x12d6…f2a8

🐋-52.0%5 days ago

YES$12.7K@ 54.0¢

Clicker10xc884…e17e

🐋-55.5%5 days ago

NO$10.0K@ 50.0¢

MEPP0x6d9f…9790

🐋+52.0%6 days ago

NO$11.6K@ 50.0¢0x0cb1…dea6🐋+52.2%6 days ago

NO$14.6K@ 45.0¢

aekghas0xb2a3…8510

🐋+68.9%6 days ago

NO$19.7K@ 47.1¢

aekghas0xb2a3…8510

🐋+61.4%6 days ago

NO$25.1K@ 44.0¢0x8f5d…eab9🐋+72.8%6 days ago

YES$10.0K@ 51.5¢

PantheraUncia0xcf19…6402

🐋-53.4%6 days ago

NO$11.3K@ 49.2¢

westminster0xbc43…1540

🐋+54.6%8 days ago

YES$27.1K@ 54.3¢0x52f5…5e8a🐋-55.8%8 days ago

YES$11.2K@ 67.0¢0x1b60…a55b🐋-64.2%9 days ago

YES$38.1K@ 38.0¢

AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804

🐋-36.8%9 days ago

YES$12.6K@ 45.2¢

Erasmus.0xc658…b784

🐋-46.9%11 days ago

YES$16.6K@ 41.3¢

mombil0x68c2…1711

🐋-41.9%12 days ago

YES$16.4K@ 36.5¢

mombil0x68c2…1711

🐋-34.3%12 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d

0x8a98…1b92NO$156.0K

Clicker1YES$76.3K

0xbe48…683fNO$30.0K

GladiatorrYES$25.3K

SeniorLaghettoNO$25.2K

AllByMyseIfYES$23.8K

0xfc2f…10c7YES$23.4K

mombilYES$17.1K

PantheraUnciaYES$16.4K

Erasmus.YES$15.9K