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Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx

● quote 50s ago
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $91.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $51.8KEvent: Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
34.5¢
Golden State Valkyries
65.5¢
Minnesota Lynx
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$11.7K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 73 min agoofficial metadata 33s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGolden State Valkyries$3.1K@ 31¢·canoflanagan

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$532
tracked
$11.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Minnesota Lynx · $2.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 73 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-25 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

•If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Golden State Valkyries; negative values favor Minnesota Lynx. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGolden State Valkyries · $0
6hGolden State Valkyries · $532
24hMinnesota Lynx · $170

Golden State Valkyries price VWAP

Volume-weighted Golden State Valkyries price. Minnesota Lynx fills are converted to the complementary Golden State Valkyries probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h31.4¢▲ above by 3.1pp
VWAP 7d31.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Golden State Valkyries price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$11.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.