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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $587.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $216.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
100.0¢
Lavked
0.1¢
Vexar
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:97 trades$89.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 77 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLavked$40.3K@ 100¢·0xd081…306b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$27.6K
tracked
$89.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Vexar · $188 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 77 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against Vexar.

•This market will resolve to "Vexar" if Vexar win the match against Lavked.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Lavked and Vexar in the Exort Fiesta Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against Vexar. This market will resolve to "Vexar" if Vexar win the match against Lavked. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lavked2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Lavked@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Lavked UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $45 → $599 · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lavked; negative values favor Vexar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLavked · $0
6hVexar · $27.6K
24hVexar · $27.6K

Lavked price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lavked price. Vexar fills are converted to the complementary Lavked probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.4¢▲ above by 10.6pp
VWAP 7d89.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lavked price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$55.0K
90¢
$10
85¢
$49
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$9.0K
70¢
$20.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$20
35¢
$15
30¢
$160
25¢
$300
20¢
$160
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLavked$40.3K@ 99.9¢0xd081…306b🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLavked$20.6K@ 74.3¢0xd081…306b🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd081…306bLavked$28.0K
BUY VWAP 71.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.