Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 56% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
YES price VWAP
Largest holders
YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.