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Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $71.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $86.9KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
0.1¢
HANJIN BRION
100.0¢
Natus Vincere
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets83Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$22.1K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $152 net·5 wallets·$183 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$5.0K@ 46¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$21
6h
+$5.8K
tracked
$22.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: Natus Vincere · $152 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION wins 2 or more games than Natus Vincere in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between HANJIN BRION and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION wins 2 or more games than Natus Vincere in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lucas1tb2 linked markets · $51.6K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $50.0K gross
0xd016…61142 linked markets · $48.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: HANJIN BRION DOWN 12.7pp · near-book depth $2 → $1 · 35s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor HANJIN BRION; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHANJIN BRION · $21
6hHANJIN BRION · $5.8K
24hHANJIN BRION · $4.2K

HANJIN BRION price VWAP

Volume-weighted HANJIN BRION price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary HANJIN BRION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.6¢▼ below by 44.5pp
VWAP 7d44.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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HANJIN BRION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$5.8K
50¢
$12.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$168
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$5
5¢
$4
0¢
← now
$3.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.