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Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor
71.0¢
Galatasaray
29.0¢
Bursaspor
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection61Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$3.6K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGalatasaray$2.2K@ 73¢·stepanka1234

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Galatasaray pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.2K
6h
+$3.6K
tracked
$3.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Galatasaray or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.tbl.org.tr/
Outcome meaning

•If the Galatasaray win, the market will resolve to "Galatasaray".

•If the Bursaspor win, the market will resolve to "Bursaspor".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for October 12 at 12:00PM ET: If the Galatasaray win, the market will resolve to "Galatasaray". If the Bursaspor win, the market will resolve to "Bursaspor". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Galatasaray; negative values favor Bursaspor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGalatasaray · $2.2K
6hGalatasaray · $3.6K
24hGalatasaray · $3.6K

Galatasaray price VWAP

Volume-weighted Galatasaray price. Bursaspor fills are converted to the complementary Galatasaray probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.0¢
VWAP 24h72.2¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d72.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Galatasaray price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$3.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.