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SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.3KEvent: SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
SeaHorses Mikawa
—
Saga Ballooners
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$1.7K trackedsource coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 150 min agoofficial metadata 26 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeaHorses Mikawa$1.2K@ 100¢·scrpn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$1.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: SeaHorses Mikawa · $432 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 150 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 06:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.bleague.jp/en/
Outcome meaning

•If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa".

•If the Saga Ballooners win, the market will resolve to "Saga Ballooners".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:05AM ET: If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa". If the Saga Ballooners win, the market will resolve to "Saga Ballooners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor SeaHorses Mikawa; negative values favor Saga Ballooners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeaHorses Mikawa · $0
6hSeaHorses Mikawa · $1.7K
24hSeaHorses Mikawa · $1.7K

SeaHorses Mikawa price VWAP

Volume-weighted SeaHorses Mikawa price. Saga Ballooners fills are converted to the complementary SeaHorses Mikawa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h98.81¢
VWAP 7d98.81¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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SeaHorses Mikawa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.