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↕Latest large trade
data 30%SELL Andrea Lazaro Garcia$329.4K@ 99.9¢
Sopo: Katrina Scott vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
⚡Top signal right now
1h flow +$15.7K·Priority 85·Direction YES 89.7¢
Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal
Last evaluated: NO +16.0pp in 24h
🏆Best official PnL · observed cohort
+$10.6M official all-time PnL
BreakTheBank · 41 observed fills
🧠Smart money
52 wallets (3🐋)·NO $264.3K· 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
↕
See actual direction
BUY and SELL are preserved for both YES and NO outcomes
🌊
Require confirmation
Breadth, net buying and wallet evidence matter more than a raw activity spike
📚
Audit every signal
Wins and losses are evaluated at the same 24-hour horizon
💧
Check execution first
Bid/ask, depth and slippage show whether the idea is tradable
YES 89.7¢NO 10.3¢$49.2K
74%priority85
YES 17.5¢NO 82.5¢$44.6K
72%priority81
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$17.4K
94%priority73
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$398.3K
90%priority70
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$98.6Ksoon
73%priority62
YES 42.5¢NO 57.5¢$119.3Ksoon
76%priority61
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$24.7Ksoon
90%priority59
YES 53.5¢NO 46.5¢$230.2Ksoon
74%priority58
YES 49.5¢NO 50.5¢$18.7Ksoon
90%priority58
YES 36.5¢NO 63.5¢$40.1Ksoon
90%priority54
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$14.7Ksoon
78%priority50
YES 80.6¢NO 19.4¢$23.8K
74%priority50
YES 18.5¢NO 81.5¢$18.8K
83%priority49
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$205.0Ksoon
76%priority49
YES 51.5¢NO 48.5¢$87.0Ksoon
76%priority47
YES 61.5¢NO 38.5¢$221.9Ksoon
77%priority41
YES 3.6¢NO 96.4¢$2.3M
73%priority0
YES 11.0¢NO 89.0¢$1.9M
71%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$1.6M
80%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$840.1K
73%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$836.7K
68%priority0
YES 0.35¢NO 99.65¢$751.9K
50%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$648.8Ksoon
84%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$598.3K
77%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$578.7Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.25¢NO 99.75¢$574.1K
53%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$480.8K
0%priority0
YES 77.5¢NO 22.5¢$442.2Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$423.4K
75%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$421.8K
0%priority0
YES 26.5¢NO 73.5¢$397.5Ksoon
74%priority0
YES 16.5¢NO 83.5¢$359.9K
72%priority0
YES 6.5¢NO 93.5¢$329.0K
80%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$321.7K
50%priority0
YES 81.5¢NO 18.5¢$318.8Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$304.9Ksoon
70%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$275.5K
0%priority0
YES 10.5¢NO 89.5¢$273.1Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 34.9¢NO 65.1¢$273.0K
73%priority0
YES 1.35¢NO 98.65¢$258.0K
50%priority0
YES 25.5¢NO 74.5¢$256.1K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.8¢$250.0K
0%priority0
YES 95.95¢NO 4.05¢$241.5K
55%priority0
YES 52.5¢NO 47.5¢$240.8Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$224.8K
51%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$224.6K
50%priority0
YES 96.5¢NO 3.5¢$220.6K
57%priority0
YES 28.0¢NO 72.0¢$201.1K
0%priority0
YES 30.5¢NO 69.5¢$200.2K
0%priority0
YES 54.5¢NO 45.5¢$196.6Ksoon
75%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$193.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$192.9K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$192.4K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$190.1K
0%priority0
YES 13.15¢NO 86.85¢$187.8K
69%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$186.6Ksoon
77%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$185.5K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$181.8K
0%priority0
YES 3.55¢NO 96.45¢$170.2K
58%priority0
YES 50.5¢NO 49.5¢$168.5K
57%priority0
YES 19.5¢NO 80.5¢$168.3K
0%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$167.6K
0%priority0
YES 83.0¢NO 17.0¢$165.0Ksoon
71%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$159.4K
72%priority0
YES 43.5¢NO 56.5¢$154.2K
61%priority0
YES 15.5¢NO 84.5¢$153.5K
71%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$152.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$150.0K
79%priority0
YES 14.0¢NO 99.9¢$147.7K
62%priority0
YES 48.5¢NO 51.5¢$147.6Ksoon
62%priority0
YES 35.5¢NO 64.5¢$143.2K
58%priority0
YES 37.25¢NO 62.75¢$136.9K
78%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$134.4K
0%priority0
YES 2.75¢NO 97.25¢$134.1K
54%priority0
YES 2.35¢NO 97.65¢$128.1K
50%priority0
YES 30.85¢NO 69.15¢$127.1Ksoon
68%priority0
YES 57.5¢NO 42.5¢$126.7Ksoon
59%priority0
YES 0.45¢NO 99.55¢$126.6K
56%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$125.1K
0%priority0
YES 66.5¢NO 33.5¢$121.1Ksoon
73%priority0
YES 0.15¢NO 99.85¢$119.5K
50%priority0
YES 63.45¢NO 36.55¢$118.2K
71%priority0
YES 99.95¢NO 0.05¢$117.2K
83%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$114.8K
0%priority0
YES 47.5¢NO 52.5¢$113.8Ksoon
76%priority0
YES 65.5¢NO 34.5¢$112.8K
59%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$112.2K
0%priority0
YES 1.3¢NO 98.7¢$108.2K
51%priority0
YES 24.1¢NO 75.9¢$107.1K
54%priority0
YES 0.95¢NO 99.05¢$106.3K
50%priority0
YES 85.5¢NO 14.5¢$106.3K
55%priority0
YES 37.5¢NO 62.5¢$105.4K
72%priority0
YES 29.5¢NO 70.5¢$105.1Ksoon
58%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$102.5K
50%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$102.0K
50%priority0
YES 0.55¢NO 99.45¢$100.5K
58%priority0
YES 0.1¢NO 99.9¢$100.2K
0%priority0
YES 0.05¢NO 99.95¢$100.0K
50%priority0
| Market ↕ | YesCurrent YES price — probability the event happens (0–100¢) ↕ | NoCurrent NO price — probability the event does not happen (0–100¢) ↕ | Vol 24hOfficial Polymarket/Gamma 24-hour volume. Tracked trade coverage is shown in market detail. ↕ | Signed flowYES-equivalent order flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. ↕ | SpreadBid-ask spread — lower means better liquidity and tighter pricing ↕ | ClosesWhen this market closes for trading and resolves ↕ | AnomalyCurrent one-hour activity relative to this market's own seven-day hourly baseline. ↕ | DataConfidence based on BUY/SELL coverage, tracked-vs-official volume and source freshness. ↕ | PriorityExplainable opportunity priority. It is not model probability, expected value or a trade recommendation. ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89.7¢ | 10.3¢ | $49.2K | +$15.7K | 1.2¢ | 7 days | 100 | 74% | 85 | |
| 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $44.6K | +$6.9K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 72% | 81 | |
| 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $17.4K | $9.8K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 94% | 73 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $398.3K | $60.7K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 90% | 70 | |
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersresolving | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $98.6K | +$4.1K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 73% | 62 |
Red Wings vs. Bluesresolving | 42.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $119.3K | +$20.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 61 |
Spread: Senators (-1.5)resolving | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $24.7K | $14.6K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 90% | 59 |
Celtics vs. 76ersresolving | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ | $230.2K | +$2.2K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 58 |
Devils vs. Jets: O/U 6.5resolving | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $18.7K | $5.5K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 90% | 58 |
| 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ | $40.1K | $7.1K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 90% | 54 | |
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $14.7K | $1.6K | 1.0¢ | about 6 hourssoon | 100 | 78% | 50 |
| 80.6¢ | 19.4¢ | $23.8K | $1.9K | 1.2¢ | about 2 months | 100 | 74% | 50 | |
| 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $18.8K | $1.5K | 1.0¢ | 7 days | 100 | 83% | 49 | |
Capitals vs. Senatorsresolving | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $205.0K | +$2.3K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 88 | 76% | 49 |
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)resolving | 51.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $87.0K | $7.5K | 1.0¢ | about 3 hourssoon | 100 | 76% | 47 |
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsresolving | 61.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $221.9K | +$1.5K | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 45 | 77% | 41 |
| 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $2.3M | +$99 | 0.2¢ | 29 days | 0 | 73% | 0 | |
| 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ | $1.9M | +$3.0K | 0.2¢ | 29 days | 22 | 71% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $1.6M | +$2.5K | 1.0¢ | 29 days | 4 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $840.1K | $2.9K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 73% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $836.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 0 | 68% | 0 | |
| 0.35¢ | 99.65¢ | $751.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $648.8K | $14.7K | 0.7¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 100 | 84% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $598.3K | +$778 | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 55 | 77% | 0 | |
Spread: Heat (-8.5)resolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $578.7K | $1.4K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 17 | 77% | 0 |
| 0.25¢ | 99.75¢ | $574.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 29 days | 0 | 53% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $480.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Heat vs. Jazzresolving | 77.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $442.2K | +$2.5K | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 47 | 75% | 0 |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $423.4K | +$10 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 15 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $421.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $397.5K | $8.4K | 1.0¢ | about 22 hourssoon | 100 | 74% | 0 | |
| 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $359.9K | $3.9K | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 64 | 72% | 0 | |
| 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $329.0K | +$232 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 80% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $321.7K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 10 days | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ | $318.8K | $21 | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 0 | 77% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $304.9K | +$26.3K | 0.1¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 70% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $275.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Bucks vs. Knicksresolving | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $273.1K | +$93 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 3 | 76% | 0 |
| 34.9¢ | 65.1¢ | $273.0K | $153 | 0.6¢ | 18 days | 2 | 73% | 0 | |
| 1.35¢ | 98.65¢ | $258.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 25.5¢ | 74.5¢ | $256.1K | +$169 | 1.0¢ | about 2 months | 1 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $250.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 95.95¢ | 4.05¢ | $241.5K | +$0 | 1.5¢ | 29 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsresolving | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ | $240.8K | $125 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 4 | 76% | 0 |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $224.8K | +$4 | 0.5¢ | almost 2 years | 1 | 51% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $224.6K | $0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 16 | 50% | 0 | |
| 96.5¢ | 3.5¢ | $220.6K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 5 days | 0 | 57% | 0 | |
| 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ | $201.1K | +$0 | 2.0¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $200.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | — | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $196.6K | +$17 | 1.0¢ | about 15 hourssoon | 7 | 75% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $193.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $192.9K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $192.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $190.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 13.15¢ | 86.85¢ | $187.8K | +$35 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 1 | 69% | 0 | |
Spread: Magic (-6.5)resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $186.6K | $6.0K | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 100 | 77% | 0 |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $185.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $181.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3.55¢ | 96.45¢ | $170.2K | $9.7K | 0.1¢ | 5 days | 64 | 58% | 0 | |
| 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $168.5K | $4.5K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 57% | 0 | |
| 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $168.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | about 1 year | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $167.6K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ | $165.0K | $29 | 2.0¢ | about 7 hourssoon | 2 | 71% | 0 | |
| 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $159.4K | +$6.0K | 1.0¢ | 3 months | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $154.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 61% | 0 | |
| 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ | $153.5K | $1.2K | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 27 | 71% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 6 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $152.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $150.0K | +$38.2K | 0.1¢ | 6 days | 100 | 79% | 0 | |
| 14.0¢ | 99.9¢ | $147.7K | $4.8K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 62% | 0 | |
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5resolving | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $147.6K | $3 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 0 | 62% | 0 |
| 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ | $143.2K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 0 | 58% | 0 | |
| 37.25¢ | 62.75¢ | $136.9K | $401 | 0.3¢ | about 2 months | 5 | 78% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $134.4K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 2.75¢ | 97.25¢ | $134.1K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 20 days | 0 | 54% | 0 | |
| 2.35¢ | 97.65¢ | $128.1K | +$2 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 30.85¢ | 69.15¢ | $127.1K | $1.7K | 12.4¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 100 | 68% | 0 | |
Devils vs. Jetsresolving | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ | $126.7K | $51 | 1.0¢ | about 2 hourssoon | 4 | 59% | 0 |
| 0.45¢ | 99.55¢ | $126.6K | $9.0K | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 100 | 56% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $125.1K | +$0 | 0.2¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Magic vs. Kingsresolving | 66.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $121.1K | +$88 | 1.0¢ | about 5 hourssoon | 9 | 73% | 0 |
| 0.15¢ | 99.85¢ | $119.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 63.45¢ | 36.55¢ | $118.2K | +$5 | 2.7¢ | about 2 months | 0 | 71% | 0 | |
| 99.95¢ | 0.05¢ | $117.2K | +$9.4K | 0.1¢ | 7 days | 100 | 83% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $114.8K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5resolving | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ | $113.8K | $392 | 1.0¢ | about 4 hourssoon | 26 | 76% | 0 |
| 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $112.8K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 18 days | 0 | 59% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $112.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 7 months | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1.3¢ | 98.7¢ | $108.2K | +$0 | 0.4¢ | 3 months | 0 | 51% | 0 | |
| 24.1¢ | 75.9¢ | $107.1K | $53 | 1.2¢ | about 1 year | 7 | 54% | 0 | |
| 0.95¢ | 99.05¢ | $106.3K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 85.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $106.3K | +$0 | 1.0¢ | 20 days | 0 | 55% | 0 | |
| 37.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $105.4K | $3.0K | 1.0¢ | 4 days | 100 | 72% | 0 | |
| 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $105.1K | $8.0K | 1.0¢ | about 10 hourssoon | 100 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $102.5K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $102.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 50% | 0 | |
| 0.55¢ | 99.45¢ | $100.5K | $9.0K | 0.1¢ | 3 months | 100 | 58% | 0 | |
| 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $100.2K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | almost 2 years | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 0.05¢ | 99.95¢ | $100.0K | +$0 | 0.1¢ | 5 months | 0 | 50% | 0 |