US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses: 6 monthsLiquidity: $1.4M24h Vol: $14.4M
63.5¢
YES
36.5¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 97%·25 wallets(7🐋)·$435.3K
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$84.4K@ 100¢·ochran

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.disputed

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$1.2M
90¢
$84.0K
85¢
$54.9K
80¢
$184.4K
75¢
$20.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$14.2K
15¢
$32.7K
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$11.6K
0¢
$11.4K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$29.5K@ 99.8¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$49.9K@ 99.8¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$10.1K@ 99.9¢0x45bc…978b🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$16.0K@ 99.8¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$25.3K@ 99.9¢
Flipadelphia0x4488…e319
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$10.0K@ 99.9¢
JJo0xc408…4675
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$84.4K@ 99.9¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$22.2K@ 99.9¢0xc294…4798🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$10.2K@ 99.9¢
rwo0xd189…06f4
🐋-36.4%4 days ago
YES$15.7K@ 99.7¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e
🐋-36.3%5 days ago
YES$27.4K@ 99.8¢0x6ede…97a2🐋-36.4%5 days ago
YES$20.6K@ 99.7¢0x9507…7b04🐋-36.3%5 days ago
YES$15.9K@ 99.6¢0x6ede…97a2🐋-36.3%5 days ago
YES$12.5K@ 99.5¢0x6ede…97a2🐋-36.2%5 days ago
YES$13.3K@ 99.5¢0x6ede…97a2🐋-36.2%5 days ago
YES$12.3K@ 99.1¢0x6ede…97a2🐋-35.9%6 days ago
YES$12.5K@ 99.0¢0xc294…4798🐋-35.9%6 days ago
YES$15.1K@ 97.2¢
Flipadelphia0x4488…e319
🐋-34.7%6 days ago
YES$10.9K@ 97.3¢0xd914…0d9a🐋-34.7%6 days ago
YES$25.0K@ 96.8¢0x0d15…c454🐋-34.4%6 days ago
YES$22.3K@ 96.7¢
TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb
🐋-34.4%6 days ago
YES$22.1K@ 97.7¢
cqs0xdfe3…73c4
🐋-35.0%6 days ago
YES$45.7K@ 97.0¢
ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418
🐋-34.5%7 days ago
YES$11.0K@ 98.0¢
SeniorLaghetto0x05ab…8145
🐋-35.2%7 days ago
YES$14.6K@ 93.8¢0x88e3…384e🐋-32.3%7 days ago
YES$22.2K@ 84.0¢
AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804
🐋-24.4%8 days ago
YES$12.9K@ 86.0¢
classified0x12d6…f2a8
🐋-26.2%8 days ago
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
ochranYES$163.8K
FlipadelphiaYES$83.9K
cqsYES$22.1K
rwoYES$18.5K
KARMASURYES$11.2K
JJoYES$10.0K