PnL by Market (103)100 open3 closed
● open No · $24.6Kin $26.8Kout $2.1Kunreal $-12
● open Yes · $41in $41unreal +$0
● open No · $39in $40unreal $-1
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
● open No · $40in $40unreal $-0
● open No · $40in $40unreal +$0
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
● open No · $40in $40unreal +$0
● open No · $40in $40unreal +$0
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?
● open Yes · $41in $40unreal +$1
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
● open Yes · $42in $40unreal +$2
● open No · $29in $30unreal $-1
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
● open Yes · $18in $20unreal $-2
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $20in $20unreal $-0
● open No · $0in $10unreal $-10
● open No · $20in $20
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
● open No · $20in $20
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
● open No · $20in $20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
● open No · $20in $20
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
● open No · $20in $20
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal +$0
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
● open Yes · $20in $20unreal +$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open Clippers · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
● open No · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open Michigan Wolverines · $20in $20unreal +$0
● open Rangers · $21in $20unreal +$1
● open No · $21in $20unreal +$1
● open Yes · $5in $10unreal $-5
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
● closedin $20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
● closedin $20
● closedin $10
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open No· $24.6K | $26.8K | $2.1K | $-12 | 3 | $-24672 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? ●open Yes· $41 | $41 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-41 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $39 | $40 | $0 | $-1 | 2 | $-41 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | $-0 | 2 | $-40 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-40 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-40 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? ●open No· $40 | $40 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-40 |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026? ●open Yes· $41 | $40 | $0 | +$1 | 2 | $-39 |
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026? ●open Yes· $42 | $40 | $0 | +$2 | 2 | $-38 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $29 | $30 | $0 | $-1 | 2 | $-31 |
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March? ●open Yes· $18 | $20 | $0 | $-2 | 1 | $-22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? ●open No· $0 | $10 | $0 | $-10 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? ●open Yes· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks ●open Clippers· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? ●open No· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines ●open Michigan Wolverines· $20 | $20 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-20 |
| Panthers vs. Rangers ●open Rangers· $21 | $20 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-19 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $21 | $20 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-19 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? ●open Yes· $5 | $10 | $0 | $-5 | 1 | $-15 |
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? ● closed | $20 | $0 | — | 1 | $-20 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? ● closed | $10 | $0 | — | 1 | $-10 |
Recent Trades (20)
NO$2.1K@ 99.5¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?about 6 hours ago
NO$26.8K@ 99.6¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?🐋about 7 hours ago
NO$20@ 99.0¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?about 7 hours ago
Trading Activity · 90d
1 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
6h–1d
1 betsunresolved0/0
1d–7d
20 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
24 betsunresolved0/0
+4
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